Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds And Picks: Betting On Brooks

The PGA Tour concludes the Florida swing today with the Valspar Championship, as gamers make one final stop before shifting focus towards Texas and, eventually, the Masters.


At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face one of the tougher and more special tests on the schedule.


Let's break down the chances, course setup and best bets for this week's Valspar Championship.


Valspar Championship 2026 Odds


Xander Schauffele (+1100 )
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 )
Viktor Hovland (+1800 )
Akshay Bhatia (+2200 )
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 )
Justin Thomas (+2200 )
Brooks Koepka (+2500 )
Jordan Spieth (+2500 )
Patrick Cantlay (+2500 )
Corey Conners (+3000 )
Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 )
J.J. Spaun (+3500 )
Sahith Theegala (+3500 )
Austin Smotherman (+4000 )
Ben Griffin (+4000 )
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 )
Nick Taylor (+5500 )
Aaron Rai (+6000 )


Copperhead Course: What to Know


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,352
Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th smallest on Tour).
Fairways: Overseeded Ryegrass (4th narrowest).
Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches).
Bunkers: 74.
Water in Play: 6


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has four courses on property, however Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event considering that it debuted on Tour back in 2000.


It is among the more underrated stops on the schedule and a layout players tend to enjoy using. You're not getting your normal Florida setup here either. Instead of wide fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead features narrow, pine tree-lined passages, plenty of tight doglegs and some noticeable elevation modifications throughout. It's comparable to TPC Sawgrass where placing matters more than just battle it off the tee.


Because of that, players are forced to club down off the tee, which moves the benefit away from distance and toward approach play.


Copperhead isn't a conventional par 71 either. It includes 5 par threes, all 195 lawns or longer, and they rank as the ninth most difficult set of par threes on Tour. The four par fives are far from easy too, grading out as the fourth toughest group despite being the very best chances for birdies.


It's also extremely much a second-shot course. Around 53% of technique shots originate from beyond 175 yards, with players striking into small, firm greens that are difficult to hold. That's a huge factor why greens in guideline relax just 57%, one of the lowest marks on Tour.


You're going to have to be dialed in with your irons to create opportunities.


And with motorist used on barely half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes acquired off the tee hasn't been a crucial sign of success here, which puts even more pressure on technique play and the brief game.


With greens missed as frequently as they are, being able to acquire strokes around the green becomes a big benefit when it pertains to saving par and avoiding errors.


Include one of the most difficult closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this becomes more about limiting errors and playing what's thought about dull golf.


Approach play is the most significant top priority today, particularly at comparable hard scoring courses. With many shots coming from 175 lawns and out into small, firm greens, I'm greatly weighting SG: APP and proximity from distance.


From there, I'm concentrating on players who can deal with a grind. That means taking a look at bogey avoidance, scrambling and SG: ARG, in addition to good drive portion to remain in position. I'm also considering par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting splits on Poa surface areas and total performance in challenging scoring conditions.


Valspar Championship Picks


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )


It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's go back to the Tour, completing T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and then missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but it didn't take wish for him to recover.


Koepka responded with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 finish recently at THE PLAYERS.


This season, among this field, Koepka ranks second in SG: APP. Over the previous couple of years at courses with difficult scoring conditions, he's 21st because metric, and when you match that with strong greens in regulation numbers and his distance from 175+ lawns, it's precisely what you want at a course like this.


He's likewise 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which reveals that even if his irons aren't dialed, he can still make up for it around the green.


This field uses a great chance for a star player to shine.


J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )


I went back and forth on whether to pull the trigger on J.J. Spaun today. It hasn't been a terrific start to the year, with his finest finish coming recently at THE PLAYERS (T-24), however he's appearing a huge way in my design, ranking fourth overall.


He's very first in SG: TOT in similar scoring conditions, third in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, eighth in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a mixed club choice off the tee.


The putter has cooled down a bit, which is actually the primary issue, however if that even returns to average, the rest of his video game is in a solid area for a course like Copperhead.


With the Masters around the corner, Spaun might use a strong showing, and this seems like one of the better possibilities for him to put it together.


Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )


How could I not go back to Corey Conners for a third straight week? The Canadian treated us well at THE PLAYERS. Not just did he hold the lead for a stretch, but he ultimately cashed us a Top 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 surface at TPC Sawgrass.


I had him appreciated in my model recently, and the exact same is taking place again for the Valspar Championship. He finished T-8 last year at this event and in overall has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, posting a True SG mark of +1.63.


Conners ranks second in Bogey Avoidance at difficult scoring courses, fourth in SG: APP and sixth in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been very accurate off the tee with a mixed club selection, he's striking greens in guideline at a high rate (second) and has done a nice task making the most of Par 5s.


What hasn't been as strong is the putter, in addition to his play around the green and on more difficult Par threes. Still, he was able to conquer that recently. In a weaker field he could definitely do it once again and really win this thing.


Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )


This male has actually been a popular betting selection this season, and for excellent reason.


The 25-year-old hasn't completed even worse than T-27, which came last week at THE PLAYERS. His best surfaces include a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.


Hojgaard's irons have been called in, the putter has actually been solid and he ranks first in SG: Par 3 over the past number of seasons on average-to-difficult Par 3s.


He'll require to remain constant off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, however if he can do that, there's no reason he can't find himself near the top of the leaderboard once again and perhaps even break through for his first PGA Tour win.


Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )


Ryo Hisatsune T-4 at this event last year, and the season prior he published a T-33. In overall, he's gained +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.


What's much more persuading is his current form. He's missed out on simply one cut in 8 competitions this season, which can be found in his first start of the year at the Sony Open.


His finest outcomes consist of a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 finish last week at THE PLAYERS.


He ranks sixth in SG: TOT on similar tracks and is also 6th in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's also including a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.


His iron play has taken an advance this season and if that continues, it might bring him even further at Innisbrook this time around


Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )


It's time for our dark-horse pick of the week, which comes from 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.


It might be crazy to back a gamer coming off back-to-back missed out on cuts, however with him ranking 6th general in my design this week, he is difficult to disregard.


Meissner ranks initially in Bogey Avoidance, second in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at hard courses comparable to Copperhead.


He's also carried out well here, ending up T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, publishing a Real SG mark of +1.05.


I think Meissner's got some value today. I'll gladly lay -108 for a Top 40, and hope we're likewise sweating a 90/1 straight-out ticket come Sunday.


Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ).
Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )


Something about those Canadians today, eh? My model is high up on our friends from the Great White North, and I do not wish to lose out on wagering them to finish Top 30.


I do not think they have enough to win this competition outright, however I think they'll remain competitive for all 4 days.


Taylor hasn't missed out on a cut this season, and his play around the green can bring him through the week.


Meanwhile, Pendrith is appearing 10th in my design.


So let's include these two golfers to the card as well, but simply with their Top 30 wagers.


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 )
Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )