Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds And Picks: Betting On Brooks

The PGA Tour concludes the Florida swing today with the Valspar Championship, as gamers make one last stop before moving focus toward Texas and, ultimately, the Masters.


At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face one of the harder and more distinct tests on the schedule.


Let's break down the odds, course setup and best options for this week's Valspar Championship.


Valspar Championship 2026 Odds


Xander Schauffele (+1100 )
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 )
Viktor Hovland (+1800 )
Akshay Bhatia (+2200 )
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 )
Justin Thomas (+2200 )
Brooks Koepka (+2500 )
Jordan Spieth (+2500 )
Patrick Cantlay (+2500 )
Corey Conners (+3000 )
Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 )
J.J. Spaun (+3500 )
Sahith Theegala (+3500 )
Austin Smotherman (+4000 )
Ben Griffin (+4000 )
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 )
Nick Taylor (+5500 )
Aaron Rai (+6000 )


Copperhead Course: What to Know


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,352
Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th tiniest on Tour).
Fairways: (fourth narrowest).
Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches).
Bunkers: 74.
Water in Play: 6


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has four courses on property, but Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event since it debuted on Tour back in 2000.


It is among the more underrated stops on the schedule and a layout players tend to take pleasure in using. You're not getting your normal Florida setup here either. Instead of wide fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead features narrow, pine tree-lined passages, lots of tight doglegs and some visible elevation changes throughout. It resembles TPC Sawgrass where placing matters more than just bombing it off the tee.


Because of that, players are forced to club down off the tee, which moves the benefit far from range and toward approach play.


Copperhead isn't a conventional par 71 either. It features five par 3s, all 195 yards or longer, and they rank as the ninth hardest set of par threes on Tour. The four par 5s are far from easy as well, grading out as the fourth toughest group in spite of being the finest opportunities for birdies.


It's also very much a second-shot course. Around 53% of technique shots come from beyond 175 lawns, with gamers hitting into little, firm greens that are difficult to hold. That's a big reason why greens in policy relax simply 57%, among the most affordable marks on Tour.


You're going to need to be called in with your irons to produce opportunities.


And with motorist utilized on barely half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes got off the tee hasn't been an essential indicator of success here, which puts a lot more pressure on method play and the short video game.


With greens missed out on as frequently as they are, having the ability to get strokes around the green ends up being a big advantage when it concerns conserving par and avoiding mistakes.


Include one of the toughest closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this becomes more about restricting errors and playing what's thought about boring golf.


Approach play is the biggest top priority today, specifically at comparable hard scoring courses. With a lot of shots coming from 175 lawns and out into little, firm greens, I'm heavily weighting SG: APP and distance from distance.


From there, I'm focusing on players who can handle a grind. That suggests taking a look at bogey avoidance, rushing and SG: ARG, in addition to excellent drive percentage to remain in position. I'm also considering par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting divides on Poa surface areas and overall efficiency in challenging scoring conditions.


Valspar Championship Picks


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )


It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's go back to the Tour, finishing T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and then missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, however it didn't take wish for him to recuperate.


Koepka responded with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 finish recently at THE PLAYERS.


This season, amongst this field, Koepka ranks 2nd in SG: APP. Over the past number of years at courses with tough scoring conditions, he's 21st in that metric, and when you pair that with strong greens in guideline numbers and his distance from 175+ lawns, it's exactly what you desire at a course like this.


He's also 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which shows that even if his irons aren't dialed, he can still offset it around the green.


This field provides an excellent chance for a star gamer to shine.


J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )


I went back and forth on whether to shoot on J.J. Spaun today. It hasn't been a fantastic start to the year, with his best finish coming last week at THE PLAYERS (T-24), however he's appearing a big method my model, ranking 4th overall.


He's very first in SG: TOT in similar scoring conditions, 3rd in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, eighth in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a mixed club choice off the tee.


The putter has actually cooled off a bit, which is truly the primary concern, however if that even comes back to average, the rest of his video game remains in a strong spot for a course like Copperhead.


With the Masters around the corner, Spaun might utilize a strong showing, and this seems like among the better opportunities for him to put it together.


Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )


How could I not go back to Corey Conners for a 3rd straight week? The Canadian treated us well at THE PLAYERS. Not just did he hold the lead for a stretch, but he ultimately cashed us a Leading 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 finish at TPC Sawgrass.


I had him ranked extremely in my model last week, and the exact same is taking place once again for the Valspar Championship. He completed T-8 last year at this event and in overall has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, posting a Real SG mark of +1.63.


Conners ranks second in Bogey Avoidance at challenging scoring courses, 4th in SG: APP and sixth in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been really precise off the tee with a blended club choice, he's hitting greens in guideline at a high rate (second) and has done a nice task benefiting from Par 5s.


What hasn't been as strong is the putter, in addition to his play around the green and on harder Par threes. Still, he had the ability to overcome that recently. In a weaker field he could definitely do it again and really win this thing.


Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )


This man has actually been a popular betting choice this season, and for great reason.


The 25-year-old hasn't finished even worse than T-27, which came recently at THE PLAYERS. His best surfaces include a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.


Hojgaard's irons have actually been called in, the putter has been strong and he ranks initially in SG: Par 3 over the past number of seasons on average-to-difficult Par threes.


He'll require to remain consistent off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, but if he can do that, there's no factor he can't discover himself near the top of the leaderboard once again and possibly even break through for his very first PGA Tour win.


Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )


Ryo Hisatsune ended up T-4 at this event in 2015, and the season prior he posted a T-33. In overall, he's acquired +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.


What's much more persuading is his existing form. He's missed just one cut in eight competitions this season, and that came in his very first start of the year at the Sony Open.


His best results include a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 surface recently at THE PLAYERS.


He ranks sixth in SG: TOT on comparable tracks and is also sixth in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's likewise adding a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.


His iron play has taken an advance this season and if that continues, it could carry him even further at Innisbrook this time around


Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )


It's time for our dark-horse choice of the week, which comes from 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.


It might be crazy to back a gamer coming off back-to-back missed cuts, but with him ranking 6th overall in my model today, he's tough to disregard.


Meissner ranks initially in Bogey Avoidance, 2nd in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at hard courses comparable to Copperhead.


He's likewise carried out well here, finishing T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, posting a True SG mark of +1.05.


I believe Meissner's got some value this week. I'll happily lay -108 for a Top 40, and hope we're likewise sweating a 90/1 straight-out ticket come Sunday.


Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ).
Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )


Something about those Canadians this week, eh? My design is high on our pals from the Great White North, and I don't desire to miss out on wagering them to finish Top 30.


I do not think they have enough to win this competition outright, but I think they'll remain competitive for all four days.


Taylor hasn't missed a cut this season, and his play around the green can bring him through the week.


Meanwhile, Pendrith is showing up 10th in my model.


So let's include these two golf players to the card as well, but simply with their Top 30 wagers.


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 )
Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )